TSMC anticipated to announce its sixth consecutive quarter of record earnings driven by the AI surge.

TSMC anticipated to announce its sixth consecutive quarter of record earnings driven by the AI surge.
Summary
TSMC's Q3 net profit is projected to rise 65% to T$746.3 billion.
Company reports 50% revenue growth, setting a new quarterly record on Thursday.
TSMC is exploring expansion in Texas amid strong demand for AI chip production.

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Taipei, Oct 12 (Reuters) - TSMC, the leading global producer of advanced AI chips, is poised to announce a record-breaking sixth consecutive quarter of profits, fueled by a surge in technology infrastructure investments.

Analysts have noted robust demand for TSMC’s (2330.TW) AI chip manufacturing capabilities and its innovative chip packaging technology, CoWoS.

The company is anticipated to reveal a remarkable 65% increase in net profit for the third quarter, reaching T$746.3 billion ($23.4 billion), based on an LSEG SmartEstimate generated from 16 analysts. This estimate prioritizes insights from those analysts with a track record of consistent accuracy.

An earnings conference call is scheduled for Thursday at 0600 GMT, where TSMC will discuss its fourth-quarter performance and offer updated guidance for the full year.

If the net income surpasses T$706.56 billion, it will set a new record for the company and mark its 11th consecutive quarter of profit growth. Last week, TSMC reported a 50% year-on-year revenue increase for Q3, exceeding expectations and setting a new high.

In a report dated October 6, Morgan Stanley analyst Charlie Chan projected TSMC would likely revise its full-year revenue growth forecast to the low-to-mid 40% range, up from its previous guidance of over 40%, spurred by strong interest in its 3-nanometer chips.

Regarding future expansions, TSMC is investing a substantial $265 billion to establish chip manufacturing facilities in Arizona, including an additional $100 billion announced in July for this initiative.

Recent reports indicate that TSMC is also exploring potential investment opportunities in Texas. Last week, Tesla CEO Elon Musk shared plans for a Terafab AI chip complex, hinting that TSMC could lease part of this facility.

Analysts expect TSMC to address these Texas expansion discussions during their upcoming call. Chan noted that further expansion in Texas might soon become necessary due to increasing customer demand and limited capacity at the Arizona site projected five years down the road.

However, Phelix Lee, a senior equity analyst at Morningstar, believes there is no pressing need for immediate expansion into Texas, as some fabs planned in Arizona are still in the development stage. He suggested that Texas could be a strategic consideration for the 2030s or 2040s, given its established semiconductor ecosystem and workforce. "It may serve as a proactive measure to anticipate future US trade policies and other regulations," he remarked.

During its July earnings update, TSMC raised its capital expenditure forecast for the year to between $60 billion and $64 billion, up from a prior estimation of $52 billion to $56 billion at the upper range.

So far this year, TSMC's shares listed in Taipei have surged by 63%, closely mirroring a 69% climb in the overall market.

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